Entering edit mode
Eric Blalock
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250
@eric-blalock-78
Last seen 10.2 years ago
As far as I know, the only way to reduce both Type I and Type II error
simultaneously is to increase the power. This is usually done by
increasing
the N, but arguments have been made for increasing power using pooling
strategies. In any case, this happens at the design stage, not the
analysis
stage.
At 12:00 PM 12/16/2003 +0100, you wrote:
>Message: 3
>Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:46:50 -0000
>From: "michael watson (IAH-C)" <michael.watson@bbsrc.ac.uk>
>Subject: RE: [BioC] ttest or fold change
>To: "'Baker, Stephen'" <stephen.baker@umassmed.edu>,
> bioconductor@stat.math.ethz.ch
>Message-ID:
> <20B7EB075F2D4542AFFAF813E98ACD93028224D6@cl-
exsrv1.irad.bbsrc.ac.uk>
>Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
>
> >This seems small but with a microarray with thousands of genes,
this
> >easily produces a bunch of false positives. I looked at 10 chips
from a
> >real control group arbitrarily labeling 5 chips as control and 5 as
> >experimental. I would by theory expect 35 false positives and got
> >exactly 32, that is 32 sitations in which all the low ranks were in
one
> >group and the high ranks in the other. For a chip with 22000
genes, you
> >would expect 175 false positive results by this criteria. Standard
> >statistical methods would give you a specified type I error rate
that
> >you can count on, it would have found NONE of the genes significant
> >(i.e. bonferroni adjustment)
>
>A truly excellent reply, and one which I will no doubt refer to
>frequently; I am still
>very much a novice statistician. However, and please correct me if I
am
>wrong, but
>I presume that some scientists are equally afraid of false negatives
as
>false positives?
>i.e. that if we are so conservative such that we try to ENSURE that
there
>are NO
>false positives, we may throw away genes as not differentially
expressed
>when in
>reality they are? It will be interesting to have a discussion on
this -
>is it possible,
>using statistics, to guarentee both no false positives and no false
>negatives? If not,
>then surely the investigator must decide which is relevant to the
study in
>question before
>going on to decide which stats to use.
Eric Blalock, PhD
Dept Pharmacology, UKMC
859 323-8033
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